Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Toledo 57%, Youngstown St 43% at Toledo.
Toledo's win probability against Youngstown St has held at 44% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Toledo's win probability against Youngstown St is trending up — from 48% to 51% over the last 6 updates.
Toledo's win probability against Youngstown St is trending up — from 54% to 57% over the last 6 updates.