Fresno St at Texas St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Fresno St by 4.29
TOTAL POINTS
122
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Texas St
Fresno St 
|
71
C-
|
Overall |
76
C
|
|
73
C-
|
Power |
82
B-
|
|
72
C-
|
Offensive |
77
C+
|
|
76
C
|
Defensive |
86
B
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
78
C+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
85
B
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Texas St
Fresno St
| 262 | Overall | 218 |
| 243 | Power | 160 |
| 250 | Offensive | 201 |
| 212 | Defensive | 126 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 194 | SoS (Full Season) | 127 |
Fresno St#21861%
Texas St#26239%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Fresno St 61%, Texas St 39% at Texas St.
Fresno St's win probability against Texas St is trending down — from 64% to 61% over the last 6 updates.
Fresno St's win probability against Texas St is trending down — from 70% to 67% over the last 6 updates.
Fresno St's win probability against Texas St has held at 73% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Fresno St favored
Texas St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Texas St | Neutral | At Fresno St |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 64% | 70% | 75% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 65% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 64% | 70% | 75% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 64% | 69% | 75% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 64% | 70% | 75% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 64% | 70% | 75% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 63% | 69% | 74% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 63% | 69% | 74% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 61% | 67% | 73% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Texas St
Fresno St
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
9-19 (32.1%) |
Overall |
14-18 (43.8%) |
|
5-8 (38.5%) |
Home |
7-6 (53.8%) |
|
4-10 (28.6%) |
Away |
4-11 (26.7%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
2-12 (14.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-13 (7.1%) |
|
7-7 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
13-5 (72.2%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Texas St
Fresno St
| #128 Old Dominion | Best Win | #99 Boise St |
| #305 N Illinois | Worst Loss | #246 Wyoming |
| 41 pts vs #362 Prairie View | Largest MOV | 30 pts vs #312 Utah St |
| 35 pts vs #68 Troy | Largest MOD | 26 pts vs #95 UNLV |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Texas St
Fresno St
| 61.7 | Points per Game | 62.2 |
| 68.4 | Points Against | 61.4 |
| 64.6 | Home PPG | 62.8 |
| 64.2 | Home PA | 58.5 |
| 59.2 | Away PPG | 60.6 |
| 72.3 | Away PA | 64.8 |
| 437-449 | Opponent Record | 469-533 |
| 178.1 | Avg Opponent Rank | 188.6 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | L 4 |
| L 6 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Texas St
Fresno St
| Mar 5 | South Alabama (17-19) | L59-69 | Mar 8 | UNLV (21-11) | L65-79 |
| Feb 27 | at Arkansas St (26-10) | L53-87 | Mar 7 | Nevada (9-21) | W74-57 |
| Feb 25 | at ULM (16-16) | L74-83 | Mar 3 | at New Mexico (22-10) | L64-86 |
| Feb 21 | vs South Alabama (17-19) | L59-64 | Feb 28 | vs UNLV (21-11) | L54-68 |
| Feb 18 | vs Arkansas St (26-10) | L61-75 | Feb 25 | vs Grand Canyon (13-19) | L42-57 |
| Feb 14 | at Southern Miss (13-16) | L77-86 | Feb 21 | at San Diego St (26-6) | L59-68 |
| Feb 12 | at South Alabama (17-19) | W69-63 | Feb 15 | at Utah St (5-24) | W73-59 |
| Feb 7 | at N Illinois (7-23) | L69-71 | Feb 11 | vs Boise St (24-9) | W75-69 |
| Feb 4 | vs Ga Southern (22-8) | L57-61 | Feb 7 | vs Nevada (9-21) | W71-51 |
| Jan 31 | at Georgia St (8-21) | W68-59 | Feb 4 | at San Jose St (3-28) | W79-50 |