MTSU at Tennessee Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Tennessee by 24.61
TOTAL POINTS
135
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
MTSU
Tennessee 
|
81
B-
|
Overall |
94
A
|
|
84
B
|
Power |
97
A+
|
|
77
C+
|
Offensive |
97
A+
|
|
89
B+
|
Defensive |
93
A-
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
96
A
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
MTSU
Tennessee
| 169 | Overall | 45 |
| 144 | Power | 24 |
| 206 | Offensive | 15 |
| 97 | Defensive | 59 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 156 | SoS (Full Season) | 30 |
Tennessee#4594%
MTSU#1696%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Tennessee 94%, MTSU 6% at Tennessee.
Tennessee's win probability against MTSU is trending down — from 93% to 90% over the last 6 updates.
Tennessee's win probability against MTSU has held at 92% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Tennessee's win probability against MTSU has held at 94% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Tennessee favored
MTSU favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At MTSU | Neutral | At Tennessee |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 93% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 93% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 93% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 93% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 92% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 92% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 92% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 92% | 94% | 96% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 90% | 92% | 94% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
MTSU
Tennessee
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
17-16 (51.5%) |
Overall |
16-14 (53.3%) |
|
10-6 (62.5%) |
Home |
9-4 (69.2%) |
|
6-8 (42.9%) |
Away |
7-6 (53.8%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
2-9 (18.2%) |
|
4-12 (25%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
11-14 (44%) |
|
13-4 (76.5%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
5-0 (100%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
1-9 (10%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
MTSU
Tennessee
| #102 Missouri St | Best Win | #18 Kentucky |
| #282 WKU | Worst Loss | #63 Mississippi St |
| 43 pts vs #258 UTEP | Largest MOV | 72 pts vs #290 Winthrop |
| 44 pts vs #46 Tennessee | Largest MOD | 43 pts vs #2 South Carolina |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
MTSU
Tennessee
| 61.9 | Points per Game | 76.4 |
| 60.4 | Points Against | 69.6 |
| 66.3 | Home PPG | 80.7 |
| 60.4 | Home PA | 58.5 |
| 58.4 | Away PPG | 75.2 |
| 60 | Away PA | 77.5 |
| 497-513 | Opponent Record | 654-345 |
| 178.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 77.6 |
| W 5 | Longest Streak | L 8 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 8 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
MTSU
Tennessee
| Mar 26 | vs Cleveland St (24-10) | L56-66 | Mar 20 | NC State (21-11) | L61-76 |
| Mar 23 | vs St Bonaventure (16-16) | W69-50 | Mar 5 | #23 Alabama (24-11) | L64-76 |
| Mar 12 | Missouri St (23-13) | L66-69 | Mar 1 | vs #7 Vanderbilt (29-5) | L77-87 |
| Mar 7 | vs Missouri St (23-13) | W86-75 | Feb 26 | at #8 LSU (29-6) | L73-89 |
| Mar 5 | vs Florida Intl (20-12) | L78-80 | Feb 22 | at #13 Oklahoma (26-8) | L93-100 |
| Feb 28 | at Delaware (12-19) | W67-53 | Feb 19 | vs Texas A&M (14-13) | L74-82 |
| Feb 26 | at Liberty (16-13) | L37-65 | Feb 17 | at Mississippi (24-12) | L81-94 |
| Feb 21 | at WKU (7-21) | L65-70 | Feb 15 | vs #3 Texas (35-4) | L63-65 |
| Feb 14 | vs Kennesaw (10-17) | W71-53 | Feb 12 | vs Missouri (17-17) | W98-53 |
| Feb 12 | vs Jacksonville St (13-16) | W57-48 | Feb 8 | at #2 South Carolina (36-4) | L50-93 |