UT Arlington at Tennessee St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
UT Arlington by 8.55
TOTAL POINTS
133
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Tennessee St
UT Arlington 
|
65
D
|
Overall |
72
C-
|
|
64
D
|
Power |
73
C-
|
|
70
C-
|
Offensive |
74
C
|
|
62
D-
|
Defensive |
75
C
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
81
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
76
C
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Tennessee St
UT Arlington
| 316 | Overall | 247 |
| 330 | Power | 241 |
| 272 | Offensive | 234 |
| 345 | Defensive | 228 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 167 | SoS (Full Season) | 213 |
UT Arlington#24771%
Tennessee St#31629%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: UT Arlington 71%, Tennessee St 29% at Tennessee St.
UT Arlington's win probability against Tennessee St is trending down — from 74% to 71% over the last 6 updates.
UT Arlington's win probability against Tennessee St is trending down — from 79% to 76% over the last 6 updates.
UT Arlington's win probability against Tennessee St has held at 81% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
UT Arlington favored
Tennessee St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Tennessee St | Neutral | At UT Arlington |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 74% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 75% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 74% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 74% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 74% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 74% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 74% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 74% | 79% | 83% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 71% | 76% | 81% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Tennessee St
UT Arlington
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
5-24 (17.2%) |
Overall |
12-21 (36.4%) |
|
4-10 (28.6%) |
Home |
7-6 (53.8%) |
|
1-14 (6.7%) |
Away |
1-13 (7.1%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
3-11 (21.4%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-15 (11.8%) |
|
2-13 (13.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
10-6 (62.5%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
2-8 (20%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Tennessee St
UT Arlington
| #92 W Illinois | Best Win | #53 Texas A&M |
| #328 E Illinois | Worst Loss | #293 Utah Tech |
| 10 pts vs #92 W Illinois | Largest MOV | 22 pts vs #232 VCU |
| 83 pts vs #10 TCU | Largest MOD | 65 pts vs #8 LSU |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Tennessee St
UT Arlington
| 59 | Points per Game | 61.2 |
| 75.4 | Points Against | 67.5 |
| 66.4 | Home PPG | 64.9 |
| 72.1 | Home PA | 63.8 |
| 52 | Away PPG | 56.9 |
| 78.4 | Away PA | 72.7 |
| 447-425 | Opponent Record | 511-493 |
| 195.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 185.6 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | L 7 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Tennessee St
UT Arlington
| Feb 28 | at TN Martin (10-17) | W67-60 | Mar 13 | Abilene Chr (21-11) | L50-70 |
| Feb 26 | at SE Missouri St (12-18) | L52-89 | Mar 12 | Southern Utah (16-13) | W70-65 |
| Feb 21 | vs SIUE (13-16) | L52-67 | Mar 11 | Utah Tech (8-20) | W77-73 |
| Feb 19 | vs Lindenwood (23-8) | L70-75 | Mar 7 | vs Abilene Chr (21-11) | L57-72 |
| Feb 14 | at Morehead St (17-15) | L53-79 | Mar 5 | vs Tarleton St (12-17) | L54-65 |
| Feb 12 | at Southern Indiana (18-11) | L55-81 | Feb 26 | vs Cal Baptist (23-11) | L72-79 |
| Feb 7 | vs W Illinois (23-6) | W87-77 | Feb 21 | at Utah Valley (14-15) | L60-77 |
| Feb 5 | vs E Illinois (4-27) | L60-65 | Feb 18 | at Utah Tech (8-20) | L58-60 |
| Feb 2 | vs Tennessee Tech (13-14) | L49-68 | Feb 14 | at Southern Utah (16-13) | L67-78 |
| Jan 29 | vs Ark Little Rock (13-16) | L54-60 | Feb 12 | vs Abilene Chr (21-11) | L63-72 |