UT Arlington at Tarleton St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Tarleton St by 4.16
TOTAL POINTS
126
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
UT Arlington
Tarleton St 
|
72
C-
|
Overall |
73
C-
|
|
73
C-
|
Power |
76
C
|
|
74
C
|
Offensive |
76
C
|
|
75
C
|
Defensive |
77
C+
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
76
C
|
SoS (Full Season) |
80
B-
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
UT Arlington
Tarleton St
| 247 | Overall | 240 |
| 241 | Power | 219 |
| 234 | Offensive | 216 |
| 228 | Defensive | 201 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 213 | SoS (Full Season) | 179 |
Tarleton St#24061%
UT Arlington#24739%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Tarleton St 61%, UT Arlington 39% at Tarleton St.
Tarleton St's win probability against UT Arlington has held at 48% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Tarleton St's win probability against UT Arlington has held at 54% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Tarleton St's win probability against UT Arlington has held at 61% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Tarleton St favored
UT Arlington favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At UT Arlington | Neutral | At Tarleton St |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 49% | 55% | 61% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 46% | 53% | 59% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 49% | 55% | 62% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 48% | 55% | 61% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 48% | 55% | 61% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 48% | 55% | 61% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 48% | 55% | 61% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 48% | 55% | 61% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 48% | 54% | 61% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
UT Arlington
Tarleton St
|
0-3 (0%) |
Head to Head |
3-0 (100%) |
|
12-21 (36.4%) |
Overall |
12-17 (41.4%) |
|
7-6 (53.8%) |
Home |
6-6 (50%) |
|
1-13 (7.1%) |
Away |
4-9 (30.8%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
2-15 (11.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-12 (14.3%) |
|
10-6 (62.5%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
10-5 (66.7%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
3-7 (30%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
UT Arlington
Tarleton St
| #53 Texas A&M | Best Win | #189 Southern Utah |
| #293 Utah Tech | Worst Loss | #293 Utah Tech |
| 22 pts vs #232 VCU | Largest MOV | 26 pts vs #189 Southern Utah |
| 65 pts vs #8 LSU | Largest MOD | 48 pts vs #10 TCU |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
UT Arlington
Tarleton St
| 61.2 | Points per Game | 62.9 |
| 67.5 | Points Against | 66 |
| 64.9 | Home PPG | 64.3 |
| 63.8 | Home PA | 63.6 |
| 56.9 | Away PPG | 59.8 |
| 72.7 | Away PA | 66.2 |
| 511-493 | Opponent Record | 452-446 |
| 185.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 195.2 |
| L 7 | Longest Streak | L 5 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
UT Arlington
Tarleton St
| Mar 13 | Abilene Chr (21-11) | L50-70 | Mar 13 | Cal Baptist (23-11) | L60-77 |
| Mar 12 | Southern Utah (16-13) | W70-65 | Mar 12 | Utah Valley (14-15) | W60-57 |
| Mar 11 | Utah Tech (8-20) | W77-73 | Mar 5 | at UT Arlington (12-21) | W65-54 |
| Mar 7 | vs Abilene Chr (21-11) | L57-72 | Feb 28 | vs Cal Baptist (23-11) | L67-76 |
| Mar 5 | vs Tarleton St (12-17) | L54-65 | Feb 26 | vs Utah Valley (14-15) | L51-65 |
| Feb 26 | vs Cal Baptist (23-11) | L72-79 | Feb 21 | at Utah Tech (8-20) | L55-76 |
| Feb 21 | at Utah Valley (14-15) | L60-77 | Feb 18 | at Southern Utah (16-13) | L69-76 |
| Feb 18 | at Utah Tech (8-20) | L58-60 | Feb 14 | vs Abilene Chr (21-11) | L67-72 |
| Feb 14 | at Southern Utah (16-13) | L67-78 | Feb 7 | vs Southern Utah (16-13) | W59-57 |
| Feb 12 | vs Abilene Chr (21-11) | L63-72 | Feb 5 | vs Cal Baptist (23-11) | L67-77 |