Ark Little Rock at Tarleton St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Tarleton St by 4.75
TOTAL POINTS
122
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Tarleton St
Ark Little Rock 
|
73
C-
|
Overall |
76
C
|
|
76
C
|
Power |
72
C-
|
|
76
C
|
Offensive |
69
D+
|
|
77
C+
|
Defensive |
80
B-
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
80
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
86
B
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Tarleton St
Ark Little Rock
| 240 | Overall | 213 |
| 219 | Power | 247 |
| 216 | Offensive | 281 |
| 201 | Defensive | 179 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 178 | SoS (Full Season) | 123 |
Tarleton St#24062%
Ark Little Rock#21338%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Tarleton St 62%, Ark Little Rock 38% at Tarleton St.
Tarleton St's win probability against Ark Little Rock has held at 49% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Tarleton St's win probability against Ark Little Rock has held at 56% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Tarleton St's win probability against Ark Little Rock has held at 62% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Tarleton St favored
Ark Little Rock favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Ark Little Rock | Neutral | At Tarleton St |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 52% | 59% | 65% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 50% | 56% | 62% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 51% | 57% | 64% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 51% | 57% | 63% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 50% | 57% | 63% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 50% | 57% | 63% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 50% | 56% | 63% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 50% | 56% | 63% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 49% | 56% | 62% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Tarleton St
Ark Little Rock
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
12-17 (41.4%) |
Overall |
13-16 (44.8%) |
|
6-6 (50%) |
Home |
7-6 (53.8%) |
|
4-9 (30.8%) |
Away |
5-9 (35.7%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
2-12 (14.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-9 (25%) |
|
10-5 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
10-7 (58.8%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Tarleton St
Ark Little Rock
| #189 Southern Utah | Best Win | #144 Cent Arkansas |
| #293 Utah Tech | Worst Loss | #249 Memphis |
| 26 pts vs #189 Southern Utah | Largest MOV | 37 pts vs #316 Tennessee St |
| 48 pts vs #10 TCU | Largest MOD | 55 pts vs #13 Oklahoma |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Tarleton St
Ark Little Rock
| 62.9 | Points per Game | 59.3 |
| 66 | Points Against | 64 |
| 64.3 | Home PPG | 61.9 |
| 63.6 | Home PA | 61.5 |
| 59.8 | Away PPG | 57 |
| 66.2 | Away PA | 68.1 |
| 452-446 | Opponent Record | 426-454 |
| 195.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 194.3 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | L 4 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Tarleton St
Ark Little Rock
| Mar 13 | Cal Baptist (23-11) | L60-77 | Mar 4 | SE Missouri St (12-18) | L65-68 |
| Mar 12 | Utah Valley (14-15) | W60-57 | Feb 28 | vs Southern Indiana (18-11) | L63-68 |
| Mar 5 | at UT Arlington (12-21) | W65-54 | Feb 26 | vs Morehead St (17-15) | W73-68 |
| Feb 28 | vs Cal Baptist (23-11) | L67-76 | Feb 21 | vs SE Missouri St (12-18) | L62-71 |
| Feb 26 | vs Utah Valley (14-15) | L51-65 | Feb 19 | vs TN Martin (10-17) | W65-57 |
| Feb 21 | at Utah Tech (8-20) | L55-76 | Feb 14 | at E Illinois (4-27) | W73-53 |
| Feb 18 | at Southern Utah (16-13) | L69-76 | Feb 12 | at W Illinois (23-6) | L73-84 |
| Feb 14 | vs Abilene Chr (21-11) | L67-72 | Feb 7 | vs SIUE (13-16) | W73-64 |
| Feb 7 | vs Southern Utah (16-13) | W59-57 | Feb 5 | vs Lindenwood (23-8) | L54-92 |
| Feb 5 | vs Cal Baptist (23-11) | L67-77 | Feb 3 | at TN Martin (10-17) | W68-53 |