Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: South Dakota 72%, Drake 28% at South Dakota.
South Dakota's win probability against Drake is trending up — from 58% to 61% over the last 6 updates.
South Dakota's win probability against Drake is trending up — from 64% to 67% over the last 6 updates.
South Dakota's win probability against Drake has held at 72% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.