Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: California 84%, San Francisco 16% at a neutral site.
California's win probability against San Francisco is trending down — from 83% to 80% over the last 6 updates.
California's win probability against San Francisco is trending down — from 87% to 84% over the last 6 updates.
California's win probability against San Francisco has held at 88% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.