Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: SF Austin 91%, SE Louisiana 9% at SF Austin.
SF Austin's win probability against SE Louisiana is trending down — from 87% to 84% over the last 6 updates.
SF Austin's win probability against SE Louisiana has held at 88% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
SF Austin's win probability against SE Louisiana has held at 91% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.