Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: S Illinois 52%, TN Martin 48% at S Illinois.
S Illinois' win probability against TN Martin has held at 40% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
S Illinois' win probability against TN Martin has held at 46% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
S Illinois' win probability against TN Martin has held at 52% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.