Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: S Illinois 70%, E Illinois 30% at S Illinois.
S Illinois' win probability against E Illinois has held at 58% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
S Illinois' win probability against E Illinois has held at 64% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
S Illinois' win probability against E Illinois has held at 70% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.