North Carolina at Penn Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
North Carolina by 20.15
TOTAL POINTS
126
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Penn
North Carolina 
|
88
B+
|
Overall |
98
A+
|
|
86
B
|
Power |
97
A+
|
|
81
B-
|
Offensive |
96
A
|
|
89
B+
|
Defensive |
98
A+
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
88
B+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
93
A-
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Penn
North Carolina
| 105 | Overall | 14 |
| 119 | Power | 18 |
| 166 | Offensive | 29 |
| 98 | Defensive | 9 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 106 | SoS (Full Season) | 58 |
North Carolina#1490%
Penn#10510%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: North Carolina 90%, Penn 10% at Penn.
North Carolina's win probability against Penn is trending down — from 93% to 90% over the last 6 updates.
North Carolina's win probability against Penn has held at 93% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
North Carolina's win probability against Penn has held at 94% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
North Carolina favored
Penn favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Penn | Neutral | At North Carolina |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 93% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 93% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 93% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 93% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 93% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 93% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 93% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 93% | 94% | 96% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 90% | 93% | 94% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Penn
North Carolina
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
15-10 (60%) |
Overall |
28-8 (77.8%) |
|
7-4 (63.6%) |
Home |
15-2 (88.2%) |
|
5-6 (45.5%) |
Away |
8-3 (72.7%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
2-7 (22.2%) |
|
6-9 (40%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
15-8 (65.2%) |
|
9-1 (90%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
13-0 (100%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Penn
North Carolina
| #36 Columbia | Best Win | #9 Duke |
| #267 Cornell | Worst Loss | #62 Stanford |
| 27 pts vs #278 Yale | Largest MOV | 52 pts vs #197 SMU |
| 21 pts vs #94 St Joseph's PA | Largest MOD | 23 pts vs #17 Notre Dame |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Penn
North Carolina
| 62.4 | Points per Game | 74.6 |
| 59.5 | Points Against | 59.1 |
| 60.8 | Home PPG | 78.1 |
| 57.5 | Home PA | 55.2 |
| 62.7 | Away PPG | 71.5 |
| 63 | Away PA | 60.2 |
| 399-346 | Opponent Record | 710-475 |
| 166.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 113.5 |
| W 5 | Longest Streak | W 8 |
| W 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Penn
North Carolina
| Mar 7 | vs Brown (15-11) | W69-56 | Mar 27 | #4 Connecticut (38-1) | L42-63 |
| Feb 28 | at Dartmouth (7-17) | W89-66 | Mar 22 | vs #19 Maryland (24-9) | W74-66 |
| Feb 27 | at Harvard (20-12) | L46-60 | Mar 20 | vs W Illinois (23-6) | W82-51 |
| Feb 21 | vs Yale (7-20) | W68-52 | Mar 7 | #14 Louisville (29-8) | L57-65 |
| Feb 14 | at Columbia (25-8) | L56-69 | Mar 6 | Virginia Tech (23-10) | W85-68 |
| Feb 13 | at Cornell (8-18) | W72-66 | Mar 1 | vs #9 Duke (27-9) | W74-69 |
| Feb 6 | at #21 Princeton (26-4) | L50-69 | Feb 26 | at Virginia (22-12) | W82-70 |
| Jan 31 | vs Columbia (25-8) | W64-55 | Feb 22 | vs Pittsburgh (8-22) | W78-50 |
| Jan 30 | vs Cornell (8-18) | L58-62 | Feb 19 | at Virginia Tech (23-10) | W66-63 |
| Jan 24 | at Yale (7-20) | W64-37 | Feb 15 | at #9 Duke (27-9) | L68-72 |