Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Northern Iowa 73%, St Thomas MN 27% at Northern Iowa.
Northern Iowa's win probability against St Thomas MN is trending down — from 64% to 61% over the last 6 updates.
Northern Iowa's win probability against St Thomas MN is trending down — from 70% to 67% over the last 6 updates.
Northern Iowa's win probability against St Thomas MN has held at 73% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.