Illinois St at Northern Iowa Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Northern Iowa by 4.59
TOTAL POINTS
128
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
Northern Iowa
Illinois St 
|
84
B
|
Overall |
86
B
|
|
85
B
|
Power |
84
B
|
|
80
B-
|
Offensive |
83
B-
|
|
88
B+
|
Defensive |
81
B-
|
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
79
C+
|
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Future) |
79
C+
|
RANKINGS
Northern Iowa
Illinois St
| 138 | Overall | 124 |
| 129 | Power | 139 |
| 174 | Offensive | 145 |
| 102 | Defensive | 172 |
| 146 | SoS (Current) | 188 |
| 146 | SoS (Future) | 188 |
Northern Iowa#13864%
Illinois St#12436%Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Northern Iowa 64%, Illinois St 36% at Northern Iowa.
Northern Iowa's win probability against Illinois St is trending up — from 43% to 46% over the last 6 weeks.
Northern Iowa's win probability against Illinois St is trending up — from 52% to 55% over the last 6 weeks.
Northern Iowa's win probability against Illinois St is trending up — from 61% to 64% over the last 6 weeks.
Northern Iowa favored
Illinois St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Illinois St | Neutral | At Northern Iowa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 53% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 1 | 19% | 26% | 34% |
| Wk 2 | 8% | 11% | 16% |
| Wk 3 | 17% | 24% | 32% |
| Wk 4 | 27% | 36% | 45% |
| Wk 5 | 24% | 32% | 41% |
| Wk 6 | 43% | 52% | 61% |
| Wk 7 | 47% | 56% | 65% |
| Wk 8 | 48% | 57% | 66% |
| Wk 9 | 50% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 10 | 44% | 53% | 63% |
| Wk 11 | 43% | 52% | 61% |
| Wk 12 | 42% | 51% | 60% |
| Wk 13 | 49% | 58% | 67% |
| Wk 14 | 43% | 53% | 62% |
| Wk 15 | 39% | 48% | 58% |
| Wk 16 | 44% | 53% | 63% |
| Wk 17 | 42% | 52% | 61% |
| Wk 18 | 43% | 52% | 61% |
| Wk 19 | 46% | 55% | 64% |
| Wk 20 | 47% | 56% | 65% |
| Wk 21 | 46% | 56% | 65% |
| Wk 22 | 43% | 53% | 62% |
| Wk 23 | 44% | 53% | 62% |
| Wk 24 | 46% | 55% | 64% |
RECORDS
Northern Iowa
Illinois St
|
1-1 (50%) |
Head to Head |
1-1 (50%) |
|
18-14 (56.3%) |
Overall |
24-15 (61.5%) |
|
8-5 (61.5%) |
Home |
17-1 (94.4%) |
|
8-8 (50%) |
Away |
6-9 (40%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
6-11 (35.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
8-10 (44.4%) |
|
12-3 (80%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
16-5 (76.2%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Northern Iowa
Illinois St
| #50 Murray St | Best Win | #103 Belmont |
| #272 Evansville | Worst Loss | #287 S Illinois |
| 38 pts vs #355 Valparaiso | Largest MOV | 49 pts vs #345 Chicago St |
| 33 pts vs #6 Iowa | Largest MOD | 41 pts vs #38 Nebraska |
OTHER STATISTICS
Northern Iowa
Illinois St
| 67.8 | Points per Game | 70.5 |
| 64.3 | Points Against | 66.7 |
| 70.8 | Home PPG | 77.5 |
| 65.8 | Home PA | 63.1 |
| 64.9 | Away PPG | 66.1 |
| 62.4 | Away PA | 70.5 |
| 529-508 | Opponent Record | 608-659 |
| 175.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 185.8 |
| W 5 | Longest Streak | L 4 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Northern Iowa
Illinois St
| Mar 14 | Murray St (30-4) | L59-72 | Apr 4 | at Marshall (27-9) | L41-66 |
| Mar 13 | Bradley (19-13) | W74-73 | Apr 4 | Marshall (27-9) | L41-66 |
| Mar 8 | vs Drake (12-20) | W65-58 | Apr 1 | at South Dakota (23-10) | W67-60 |
| Mar 5 | at Indiana St (9-22) | W92-73 | Mar 30 | vs G Washington (17-18) | W61-53 |
| Feb 28 | vs IL Chicago (14-18) | W82-68 | Mar 27 | vs Abilene Chr (21-11) | W59-55 |
| Feb 26 | vs Valparaiso (0-32) | W92-54 | Mar 22 | vs UTRGV (19-14) | W81-52 |
| Feb 21 | at Evansville (10-25) | L63-64 | Mar 14 | Evansville (10-25) | L70-75 |
| Feb 19 | at S Illinois (8-20) | W77-48 | Mar 13 | Drake (12-20) | W69-62 |
| Feb 12 | vs Indiana St (9-22) | W91-79 | Mar 8 | at Bradley (19-13) | W66-65 |
| Feb 7 | vs Belmont (20-12) | L58-70 | Mar 5 | at Drake (12-20) | L55-73 |
