Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Drake
Northern Iowa
|
74
C
|
Overall |
84
B
|
|
77
C+
|
Power |
85
B
|
|
87
B+
6099
|
Offensive |
80
B-
6099
|
|
Drake
6099
Northern Iowa
6099
|
||
|
67
D+
6099
|
Defensive |
88
B+
6099
|
|
Drake
6099
Northern Iowa
6099
|
||
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
83
B-
|
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Future) |
83
B-
|
Drake
Northern Iowa
| 233 | Overall | 138 |
| 203 | Power | 129 |
| 116 | Offensive | 174 |
| 298 | Defensive | 102 |
| 153 | SoS (Current) | 146 |
| 153 | SoS (Future) | 146 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Northern Iowa 78%, Drake 22% at Northern Iowa.
Northern Iowa's win probability against Drake is trending down — from 65% to 62% over the last 6 weeks.
Northern Iowa's win probability against Drake is trending down — from 74% to 70% over the last 6 weeks.
Northern Iowa's win probability against Drake is trending down — from 81% to 78% over the last 6 weeks.
| Week | At Drake | Neutral | At Northern Iowa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 33% | 42% | 51% |
| Wk 1 | 12% | 17% | 23% |
| Wk 2 | 18% | 25% | 33% |
| Wk 3 | 39% | 48% | 58% |
| Wk 4 | 59% | 68% | 76% |
| Wk 5 | 59% | 68% | 76% |
| Wk 6 | 75% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 7 | 80% | 86% | 90% |
| Wk 8 | 77% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 9 | 75% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 10 | 71% | 78% | 84% |
| Wk 11 | 70% | 77% | 83% |
| Wk 12 | 70% | 78% | 84% |
| Wk 13 | 74% | 81% | 86% |
| Wk 14 | 68% | 76% | 82% |
| Wk 15 | 64% | 72% | 79% |
| Wk 16 | 62% | 71% | 78% |
| Wk 17 | 63% | 72% | 79% |
| Wk 18 | 65% | 74% | 81% |
| Wk 19 | 63% | 71% | 79% |
| Wk 20 | 62% | 70% | 78% |
| Wk 21 | 62% | 71% | 78% |
| Wk 22 | 62% | 70% | 78% |
| Wk 23 | 62% | 70% | 78% |
| Wk 24 | 62% | 70% | 78% |
Drake
Northern Iowa
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
12-20 (37.5%) |
Overall |
18-14 (56.3%) |
|
5-10 (33.3%) |
Home |
8-5 (61.5%) |
|
6-7 (46.2%) |
Away |
8-8 (50%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
1-16 (5.9%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
6-11 (35.3%) |
|
11-4 (73.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-3 (80%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Drake
Northern Iowa
| #124 Illinois St | Best Win | #50 Murray St |
| #225 IL Chicago | Worst Loss | #272 Evansville |
| 26 pts vs #355 Valparaiso | Largest MOV | 38 pts vs #355 Valparaiso |
| 42 pts vs #6 Iowa | Largest MOD | 33 pts vs #6 Iowa |
Drake
Northern Iowa
| 71.2 | Points per Game | 67.8 |
| 74.2 | Points Against | 64.3 |
| 70 | Home PPG | 70.8 |
| 73.2 | Home PA | 65.8 |
| 72.7 | Away PPG | 64.9 |
| 75.6 | Away PA | 62.4 |
| 507-532 | Opponent Record | 529-508 |
| 177.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 175.6 |
| L 8 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Drake
Northern Iowa
| Mar 13 | Illinois St (24-15) | L62-69 | Mar 14 | Murray St (30-4) | L59-72 |
| Mar 12 | Valparaiso (0-32) | W81-55 | Mar 13 | Bradley (19-13) | W74-73 |
| Mar 8 | at Northern Iowa (18-14) | L58-65 | Mar 8 | vs Drake (12-20) | W65-58 |
| Mar 5 | vs Illinois St (24-15) | W73-55 | Mar 5 | at Indiana St (9-22) | W92-73 |
| Feb 28 | at S Illinois (8-20) | W83-68 | Feb 28 | vs IL Chicago (14-18) | W82-68 |
| Feb 26 | at Evansville (10-25) | W87-85 | Feb 26 | vs Valparaiso (0-32) | W92-54 |
| Feb 22 | vs IL Chicago (14-18) | L61-69 | Feb 21 | at Evansville (10-25) | L63-64 |
| Feb 19 | vs Valparaiso (0-32) | W79-68 | Feb 19 | at S Illinois (8-20) | W77-48 |
| Feb 14 | vs Indiana St (9-22) | W88-70 | Feb 12 | vs Indiana St (9-22) | W91-79 |
| Feb 7 | at Illinois St (24-15) | L70-77 | Feb 7 | vs Belmont (20-12) | L58-70 |
vs
Women's College Basketball