Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Stanford
North Carolina
|
92
A-
|
Overall |
97
A+
|
|
94
A
|
Power |
97
A+
|
|
93
A-
6099
|
Offensive |
96
A
6099
|
|
Stanford
6099
North Carolina
6099
|
||
|
94
A
6099
|
Defensive |
98
A+
6099
|
|
Stanford
6099
North Carolina
6099
|
||
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
93
A-
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Future) |
93
A-
|
Stanford
North Carolina
| 62 | Overall | 15 |
| 43 | Power | 19 |
| 53 | Offensive | 31 |
| 44 | Defensive | 11 |
| 56 | SoS (Current) | 58 |
| 56 | SoS (Future) | 58 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: North Carolina 86%, Stanford 14% at North Carolina.
North Carolina's win probability against Stanford is trending up — from 69% to 73% over the last 6 weeks.
North Carolina's win probability against Stanford is trending up — from 76% to 80% over the last 6 weeks.
North Carolina's win probability against Stanford is trending up — from 83% to 86% over the last 6 weeks.
| Week | At Stanford | Neutral | At North Carolina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 73% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 1 | 53% | 62% | 70% |
| Wk 2 | 57% | 66% | 74% |
| Wk 3 | 61% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 4 | 66% | 74% | 81% |
| Wk 5 | 67% | 75% | 82% |
| Wk 6 | 71% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 7 | 68% | 76% | 82% |
| Wk 8 | 65% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 9 | 51% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 10 | 57% | 66% | 74% |
| Wk 11 | 54% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 12 | 53% | 62% | 70% |
| Wk 13 | 55% | 64% | 73% |
| Wk 14 | 56% | 65% | 73% |
| Wk 15 | 59% | 68% | 76% |
| Wk 16 | 68% | 76% | 83% |
| Wk 17 | 70% | 78% | 84% |
| Wk 18 | 69% | 76% | 83% |
| Wk 19 | 68% | 75% | 82% |
| Wk 20 | 67% | 75% | 82% |
| Wk 21 | 69% | 77% | 83% |
| Wk 22 | 72% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 23 | 73% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 24 | 73% | 80% | 86% |
Stanford
North Carolina
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
21-14 (60%) |
Overall |
28-8 (77.8%) |
|
13-6 (68.4%) |
Home |
15-2 (88.2%) |
|
6-6 (50%) |
Away |
8-3 (72.7%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Versus Top 25 |
2-7 (22.2%) |
|
12-12 (50%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
15-8 (65.2%) |
|
9-2 (81.8%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
13-0 (100%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Stanford
North Carolina
| #15 North Carolina | Best Win | #9 Duke |
| #178 FGCU | Worst Loss | #62 Stanford |
| 55 pts vs #196 Lehigh | Largest MOV | 52 pts vs #197 SMU |
| 28 pts vs #31 NC State | Largest MOD | 23 pts vs #17 Notre Dame |
Stanford
North Carolina
| 70.5 | Points per Game | 74.6 |
| 63.2 | Points Against | 59.1 |
| 75.2 | Home PPG | 78.1 |
| 61.4 | Home PA | 55.2 |
| 64.6 | Away PPG | 71.5 |
| 65.3 | Away PA | 60.2 |
| 645-499 | Opponent Record | 710-475 |
| 111.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 113.5 |
| W 7 | Longest Streak | W 8 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Stanford
North Carolina
| Mar 26 | at BYU (26-12) | L61-76 | Mar 27 | #4 Connecticut (38-1) | L42-63 |
| Mar 22 | vs Quinnipiac (27-7) | W81-69 | Mar 22 | vs #19 Maryland (24-9) | W74-66 |
| Mar 19 | vs Loy Marymount (20-10) | W80-76 | Mar 20 | vs W Illinois (23-6) | W82-51 |
| Mar 4 | Miami FL (18-15) | L76-83 | Mar 7 | #14 Louisville (29-8) | L57-65 |
| Mar 1 | vs Clemson (21-12) | W85-50 | Mar 6 | Virginia Tech (23-10) | W85-68 |
| Feb 26 | vs SMU (9-21) | W87-57 | Mar 1 | vs #9 Duke (27-9) | W74-69 |
| Feb 22 | at Florida St (10-21) | W77-61 | Feb 26 | at Virginia (22-12) | W82-70 |
| Feb 19 | at Miami FL (18-15) | L51-66 | Feb 22 | vs Pittsburgh (8-22) | W78-50 |
| Feb 15 | vs Virginia (22-12) | L69-75 | Feb 19 | at Virginia Tech (23-10) | W66-63 |
| Feb 12 | vs Virginia Tech (23-10) | L67-79 | Feb 15 | at #9 Duke (27-9) | L68-72 |
vs
Women's College Basketball