Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: North Carolina 58%, Notre Dame 42% at North Carolina.
North Carolina's win probability against Notre Dame has held at 45% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
North Carolina's win probability against Notre Dame has held at 51% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
North Carolina's win probability against Notre Dame has held at 58% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.