NC State at North Carolina Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
North Carolina by 6.7
TOTAL POINTS
137
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
NC State
North Carolina 
|
96
A
|
Overall |
98
A+
|
|
96
A
|
Power |
97
A+
|
|
97
A+
|
Offensive |
96
A
|
|
94
A
|
Defensive |
98
A+
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
96
A
|
SoS (Full Season) |
93
A-
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
NC State
North Carolina
| 29 | Overall | 14 |
| 28 | Power | 18 |
| 23 | Offensive | 29 |
| 44 | Defensive | 9 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 28 | SoS (Full Season) | 58 |
North Carolina#1467%
NC State#2933%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: North Carolina 67%, NC State 33% at North Carolina.
North Carolina's win probability against NC State has held at 54% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
North Carolina's win probability against NC State has held at 61% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
North Carolina's win probability against NC State has held at 67% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
North Carolina favored
NC State favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At NC State | Neutral | At North Carolina |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 49% | 56% | 62% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 50% | 56% | 63% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 53% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 53% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 53% | 59% | 65% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 55% | 61% | 67% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 54% | 61% | 67% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
NC State
North Carolina
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
21-11 (65.6%) |
Overall |
28-8 (77.8%) |
|
10-4 (71.4%) |
Home |
15-2 (88.2%) |
|
7-5 (58.3%) |
Away |
8-3 (72.7%) |
|
0-8 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
2-7 (22.2%) |
|
12-11 (52.2%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
15-8 (65.2%) |
|
9-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
13-0 (100%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
NC State
North Carolina
| #33 Syracuse | Best Win | #9 Duke |
| #55 Clemson | Worst Loss | #62 Stanford |
| 54 pts vs #194 Southern Miss | Largest MOV | 52 pts vs #197 SMU |
| 29 pts vs #5 Michigan | Largest MOD | 23 pts vs #17 Notre Dame |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
NC State
North Carolina
| 76.7 | Points per Game | 74.6 |
| 67.1 | Points Against | 59.1 |
| 72.3 | Home PPG | 78.1 |
| 60.1 | Home PA | 55.2 |
| 80.6 | Away PPG | 71.5 |
| 74.5 | Away PA | 60.2 |
| 629-428 | Opponent Record | 710-475 |
| 85 | Avg Opponent Rank | 113.5 |
| W 6 | Longest Streak | W 8 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
NC State
North Carolina
| Mar 22 | at #5 Michigan (28-7) | L63-92 | Mar 27 | #4 Connecticut (38-1) | L42-63 |
| Mar 20 | Tennessee (16-14) | W76-61 | Mar 22 | vs #19 Maryland (24-9) | W74-66 |
| Mar 6 | #17 Notre Dame (25-11) | L63-81 | Mar 20 | vs W Illinois (23-6) | W82-51 |
| Mar 1 | at Pittsburgh (8-22) | W93-43 | Mar 7 | #14 Louisville (29-8) | L57-65 |
| Feb 26 | vs Wake Forest (14-18) | W65-56 | Mar 6 | Virginia Tech (23-10) | W85-68 |
| Feb 22 | vs Syracuse (24-9) | W82-69 | Mar 1 | vs #9 Duke (27-9) | W74-69 |
| Feb 19 | at #9 Duke (27-9) | L65-83 | Feb 26 | at Virginia (22-12) | W82-70 |
| Feb 15 | at #17 Notre Dame (25-11) | L67-79 | Feb 22 | vs Pittsburgh (8-22) | W78-50 |
| Feb 8 | at Virginia Tech (23-10) | W82-62 | Feb 19 | at Virginia Tech (23-10) | W66-63 |
| Feb 5 | vs Florida St (10-21) | W83-55 | Feb 15 | at #9 Duke (27-9) | L68-72 |