Louisville at North Carolina Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Louisville by 3.21
TOTAL POINTS
137
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
North Carolina
Louisville 
|
98
A+
|
Overall |
98
A+
|
|
97
A+
|
Power |
98
A+
|
|
96
A
|
Offensive |
98
A+
|
|
98
A+
|
Defensive |
98
A+
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
94
A
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
North Carolina
Louisville
| 14 | Overall | 9 |
| 18 | Power | 7 |
| 29 | Offensive | 11 |
| 9 | Defensive | 11 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 58 | SoS (Full Season) | 51 |
Louisville#958%
North Carolina#1442%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Louisville 58%, North Carolina 42% at North Carolina.
Louisville's win probability against North Carolina has swung between 52% and 58% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 58% now.
Louisville's win probability against North Carolina has swung between 58% and 65% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 65% now.
Louisville's win probability against North Carolina has swung between 64% and 70% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 70% now.
Louisville favored
North Carolina favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At North Carolina | Neutral | At Louisville |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 59% | 65% | 71% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 57% | 64% | 70% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 57% | 63% | 69% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 55% | 61% | 67% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 52% | 59% | 65% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 52% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 52% | 58% | 64% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 58% | 65% | 70% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
North Carolina
Louisville
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
28-8 (77.8%) |
Overall |
29-8 (78.4%) |
|
15-2 (88.2%) |
Home |
16-5 (76.2%) |
|
8-3 (72.7%) |
Away |
9-0 (100%) |
|
2-7 (22.2%) |
Versus Top 25 |
4-7 (36.4%) |
|
15-8 (65.2%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
19-8 (70.4%) |
|
13-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
10-0 (100%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
North Carolina
Louisville
| #9 Duke | Best Win | #15 North Carolina |
| #62 Stanford | Worst Loss | #44 Virginia |
| 52 pts vs #197 SMU | Largest MOV | 63 pts vs #354 Bellarmine |
| 23 pts vs #17 Notre Dame | Largest MOD | 19 pts vs #5 Michigan |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
North Carolina
Louisville
| 74.6 | Points per Game | 78.7 |
| 59.1 | Points Against | 61 |
| 78.1 | Home PPG | 81.2 |
| 55.2 | Home PA | 58.6 |
| 71.5 | Away PPG | 77 |
| 60.2 | Away PA | 63.8 |
| 710-475 | Opponent Record | 738-496 |
| 113.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 97.8 |
| W 8 | Longest Streak | W 14 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
North Carolina
Louisville
| Mar 27 | #4 Connecticut (38-1) | L42-63 | Mar 28 | #5 Michigan (28-7) | L52-71 |
| Mar 22 | vs #19 Maryland (24-9) | W74-66 | Mar 23 | vs #23 Alabama (24-11) | W69-68 |
| Mar 20 | vs W Illinois (23-6) | W82-51 | Mar 21 | vs Vermont (25-8) | W72-52 |
| Mar 7 | #14 Louisville (29-8) | L57-65 | Mar 8 | #9 Duke (27-9) | L65-70 |
| Mar 6 | Virginia Tech (23-10) | W85-68 | Mar 7 | #15 North Carolina (28-8) | W65-57 |
| Mar 1 | vs #9 Duke (27-9) | W74-69 | Mar 6 | Syracuse (24-9) | W87-61 |
| Feb 26 | at Virginia (22-12) | W82-70 | Mar 1 | vs #17 Notre Dame (25-11) | L62-65 |
| Feb 22 | vs Pittsburgh (8-22) | W78-50 | Feb 26 | at Georgia Tech (14-19) | W69-50 |
| Feb 19 | at Virginia Tech (23-10) | W66-63 | Feb 22 | vs Virginia (22-12) | L72-74 |
| Feb 15 | at #9 Duke (27-9) | L68-72 | Feb 15 | vs Florida St (10-21) | W88-65 |