MTSU at New Mexico St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
MTSU by 10.93
TOTAL POINTS
121
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
New Mexico St
MTSU 
|
68
D+
|
Overall |
81
B-
|
|
67
D+
|
Power |
84
B
|
|
66
D
|
Offensive |
77
C+
|
|
70
C-
|
Defensive |
89
B+
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
75
C
|
SoS (Full Season) |
82
B-
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
New Mexico St
MTSU
| 291 | Overall | 169 |
| 301 | Power | 144 |
| 304 | Offensive | 206 |
| 268 | Defensive | 97 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 221 | SoS (Full Season) | 156 |
MTSU#16976%
New Mexico St#29124%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: MTSU 76%, New Mexico St 24% at New Mexico St.
MTSU's win probability against New Mexico St is trending down — from 79% to 76% over the last 6 updates.
MTSU's win probability against New Mexico St has held at 81% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
MTSU's win probability against New Mexico St has held at 85% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
MTSU favored
New Mexico St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At New Mexico St | Neutral | At MTSU |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 79% | 83% | 87% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 76% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 79% | 83% | 87% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 79% | 83% | 87% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 79% | 83% | 87% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 79% | 83% | 87% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 79% | 83% | 87% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 79% | 83% | 87% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 76% | 81% | 85% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
New Mexico St
MTSU
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
6-21 (22.2%) |
Overall |
17-16 (51.5%) |
|
4-7 (36.4%) |
Home |
10-6 (62.5%) |
|
2-12 (14.3%) |
Away |
6-8 (42.9%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
2-12 (14.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
4-12 (25%) |
|
4-9 (30.8%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
13-4 (76.5%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
New Mexico St
MTSU
| #102 Missouri St | Best Win | #102 Missouri St |
| #258 UTEP | Worst Loss | #282 WKU |
| 12 pts vs #256 Kennesaw | Largest MOV | 43 pts vs #258 UTEP |
| 41 pts vs #69 Louisiana Tech | Largest MOD | 44 pts vs #46 Tennessee |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
New Mexico St
MTSU
| 55.7 | Points per Game | 61.9 |
| 68.5 | Points Against | 60.4 |
| 58.6 | Home PPG | 66.3 |
| 65.7 | Home PA | 60.4 |
| 54.9 | Away PPG | 58.4 |
| 70.7 | Away PA | 60 |
| 421-393 | Opponent Record | 497-513 |
| 181.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 178.5 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 3 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
New Mexico St
MTSU
| Mar 7 | at Sam Houston St (15-13) | L55-71 | Mar 26 | vs Cleveland St (24-10) | L56-66 |
| Mar 5 | at Louisiana Tech (24-7) | L47-88 | Mar 23 | vs St Bonaventure (16-16) | W69-50 |
| Feb 28 | vs Jacksonville St (13-16) | L38-57 | Mar 12 | Missouri St (23-13) | L66-69 |
| Feb 26 | vs Kennesaw (10-17) | W52-40 | Mar 7 | vs Missouri St (23-13) | W86-75 |
| Feb 21 | vs UTEP (11-17) | L58-69 | Mar 5 | vs Florida Intl (20-12) | L78-80 |
| Feb 14 | at Liberty (16-13) | L42-67 | Feb 28 | at Delaware (12-19) | W67-53 |
| Feb 12 | at Delaware (12-19) | L62-65 | Feb 26 | at Liberty (16-13) | L37-65 |
| Feb 7 | vs Louisiana Tech (24-7) | L58-77 | Feb 21 | at WKU (7-21) | L65-70 |
| Feb 5 | vs Sam Houston St (15-13) | W65-57 | Feb 14 | vs Kennesaw (10-17) | W71-53 |
| Jan 31 | at UTEP (11-17) | L69-79 | Feb 12 | vs Jacksonville St (13-16) | W57-48 |