Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: N Kentucky 70%, N Illinois 30% at N Illinois.
N Kentucky's win probability against N Illinois is trending down — from 73% to 70% over the last 6 updates.
N Kentucky's win probability against N Illinois is trending down — from 78% to 75% over the last 6 updates.
N Kentucky's win probability against N Illinois has held at 80% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.