Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Miami OH 54%, Ball St 46% at Miami OH.
Miami OH's win probability against Ball St has held at 41% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Miami OH's win probability against Ball St is trending up — from 45% to 48% over the last 6 updates.
Miami OH's win probability against Ball St is trending up — from 51% to 54% over the last 6 updates.