Sam Houston St at MTSU Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
MTSU by 4.45
TOTAL POINTS
121
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
MTSU
Sam Houston St 
|
81
B-
|
Overall |
81
B-
|
|
84
B
|
Power |
80
B-
|
|
77
C+
|
Offensive |
78
C+
|
|
89
B+
|
Defensive |
83
B-
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
79
C+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
MTSU
Sam Houston St
| 169 | Overall | 166 |
| 144 | Power | 176 |
| 206 | Offensive | 196 |
| 97 | Defensive | 145 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 156 | SoS (Full Season) | 184 |
MTSU#16961%
Sam Houston St#16639%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: MTSU 61%, Sam Houston St 39% at MTSU.
MTSU's win probability against Sam Houston St is trending up — from 46% to 49% over the last 6 updates.
MTSU's win probability against Sam Houston St is trending up — from 52% to 55% over the last 6 updates.
MTSU's win probability against Sam Houston St is trending up — from 58% to 61% over the last 6 updates.
MTSU favored
Sam Houston St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Sam Houston St | Neutral | At MTSU |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 46% | 53% | 59% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 45% | 51% | 58% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 46% | 52% | 58% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 49% | 55% | 62% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 48% | 55% | 61% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 49% | 55% | 62% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 49% | 56% | 62% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 49% | 56% | 62% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 49% | 55% | 61% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
MTSU
Sam Houston St
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
17-16 (51.5%) |
Overall |
15-13 (53.6%) |
|
10-6 (62.5%) |
Home |
9-4 (69.2%) |
|
6-8 (42.9%) |
Away |
6-8 (42.9%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
4-12 (25%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
5-10 (33.3%) |
|
13-4 (76.5%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
10-3 (76.9%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
4-6 (40%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
MTSU
Sam Houston St
| #102 Missouri St | Best Win | #69 Louisiana Tech |
| #282 WKU | Worst Loss | #291 New Mexico St |
| 43 pts vs #258 UTEP | Largest MOV | 34 pts vs #264 Ark Pine Bluff |
| 44 pts vs #46 Tennessee | Largest MOD | 42 pts vs #10 TCU |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
MTSU
Sam Houston St
| 61.9 | Points per Game | 63 |
| 60.4 | Points Against | 62 |
| 66.3 | Home PPG | 66 |
| 60.4 | Home PA | 57.6 |
| 58.4 | Away PPG | 60.7 |
| 60 | Away PA | 64.2 |
| 497-513 | Opponent Record | 444-418 |
| 178.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 177.8 |
| W 5 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
MTSU
Sam Houston St
| Mar 26 | vs Cleveland St (24-10) | L56-66 | Mar 19 | at Portland (18-15) | L59-62 |
| Mar 23 | vs St Bonaventure (16-16) | W69-50 | Mar 12 | Liberty (16-13) | L57-89 |
| Mar 12 | Missouri St (23-13) | L66-69 | Mar 7 | vs New Mexico St (6-21) | W71-55 |
| Mar 7 | vs Missouri St (23-13) | W86-75 | Mar 5 | vs UTEP (11-17) | W71-59 |
| Mar 5 | vs Florida Intl (20-12) | L78-80 | Feb 28 | vs Louisiana Tech (24-7) | L60-75 |
| Feb 28 | at Delaware (12-19) | W67-53 | Feb 24 | at Missouri St (23-13) | L55-60 |
| Feb 26 | at Liberty (16-13) | L37-65 | Feb 21 | at Jacksonville St (13-16) | L68-69 |
| Feb 21 | at WKU (7-21) | L65-70 | Feb 19 | at Kennesaw (10-17) | W72-66 |
| Feb 14 | vs Kennesaw (10-17) | W71-53 | Feb 14 | vs Florida Intl (20-12) | L65-67 |
| Feb 12 | vs Jacksonville St (13-16) | W57-48 | Feb 12 | vs Missouri St (23-13) | W74-67 |