Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Louisville 72%, Notre Dame 28% at Louisville.
Louisville's win probability against Notre Dame has swung between 53% and 60% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 60% now.
Louisville's win probability against Notre Dame has swung between 59% and 66% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 66% now.
Louisville's win probability against Notre Dame has swung between 66% and 72% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 72% now.