NC State at Louisville Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Louisville by 12.42
TOTAL POINTS
144
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
NC State
Louisville 
|
96
A
|
Overall |
98
A+
|
|
96
A
|
Power |
98
A+
|
|
97
A+
|
Offensive |
98
A+
|
|
94
A
|
Defensive |
98
A+
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
96
A
|
SoS (Full Season) |
94
A
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
NC State
Louisville
| 29 | Overall | 9 |
| 28 | Power | 7 |
| 23 | Offensive | 11 |
| 44 | Defensive | 11 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 28 | SoS (Full Season) | 52 |
Louisville#979%
NC State#2921%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Louisville 79%, NC State 21% at Louisville.
Louisville's win probability against NC State is trending up — from 66% to 69% over the last 6 updates.
Louisville's win probability against NC State has swung between 69% and 74% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 74% now.
Louisville's win probability against NC State has held at 79% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Louisville favored
NC State favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At NC State | Neutral | At Louisville |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 64% | 70% | 76% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 63% | 69% | 75% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 66% | 72% | 77% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 66% | 71% | 77% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 64% | 70% | 75% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 64% | 69% | 75% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 63% | 69% | 75% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 63% | 69% | 75% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 69% | 74% | 79% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
NC State
Louisville
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
21-11 (65.6%) |
Overall |
29-8 (78.4%) |
|
10-4 (71.4%) |
Home |
16-5 (76.2%) |
|
7-5 (58.3%) |
Away |
9-0 (100%) |
|
0-8 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
4-7 (36.4%) |
|
12-11 (52.2%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
19-8 (70.4%) |
|
9-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
10-0 (100%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
NC State
Louisville
| #33 Syracuse | Best Win | #15 North Carolina |
| #55 Clemson | Worst Loss | #44 Virginia |
| 54 pts vs #194 Southern Miss | Largest MOV | 63 pts vs #354 Bellarmine |
| 29 pts vs #5 Michigan | Largest MOD | 19 pts vs #5 Michigan |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
NC State
Louisville
| 76.7 | Points per Game | 78.7 |
| 67.1 | Points Against | 61 |
| 72.3 | Home PPG | 81.2 |
| 60.1 | Home PA | 58.6 |
| 80.6 | Away PPG | 77 |
| 74.5 | Away PA | 63.8 |
| 629-428 | Opponent Record | 738-496 |
| 85 | Avg Opponent Rank | 97.8 |
| W 6 | Longest Streak | W 14 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
NC State
Louisville
| Mar 22 | at #5 Michigan (28-7) | L63-92 | Mar 28 | #5 Michigan (28-7) | L52-71 |
| Mar 20 | Tennessee (16-14) | W76-61 | Mar 23 | vs #23 Alabama (24-11) | W69-68 |
| Mar 6 | #17 Notre Dame (25-11) | L63-81 | Mar 21 | vs Vermont (25-8) | W72-52 |
| Mar 1 | at Pittsburgh (8-22) | W93-43 | Mar 8 | #9 Duke (27-9) | L65-70 |
| Feb 26 | vs Wake Forest (14-18) | W65-56 | Mar 7 | #15 North Carolina (28-8) | W65-57 |
| Feb 22 | vs Syracuse (24-9) | W82-69 | Mar 6 | Syracuse (24-9) | W87-61 |
| Feb 19 | at #9 Duke (27-9) | L65-83 | Mar 1 | vs #17 Notre Dame (25-11) | L62-65 |
| Feb 15 | at #17 Notre Dame (25-11) | L67-79 | Feb 26 | at Georgia Tech (14-19) | W69-50 |
| Feb 8 | at Virginia Tech (23-10) | W82-62 | Feb 22 | vs Virginia (22-12) | L72-74 |
| Feb 5 | vs Florida St (10-21) | W83-55 | Feb 15 | vs Florida St (10-21) | W88-65 |