MTSU at Liberty Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Liberty by 3.34
TOTAL POINTS
120
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
MTSU
Liberty 
|
81
B-
|
Overall |
84
B
|
|
84
B
|
Power |
84
B
|
|
77
C+
|
Offensive |
79
C+
|
|
89
B+
|
Defensive |
88
B+
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
81
B-
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
MTSU
Liberty
| 169 | Overall | 136 |
| 144 | Power | 136 |
| 206 | Offensive | 183 |
| 97 | Defensive | 106 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 156 | SoS (Full Season) | 171 |
Liberty#13659%
MTSU#16941%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Liberty 59%, MTSU 41% at Liberty.
Liberty's win probability against MTSU is trending up — from 43% to 46% over the last 6 updates.
Liberty's win probability against MTSU has held at 52% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Liberty's win probability against MTSU is trending up — from 56% to 59% over the last 6 updates.
Liberty favored
MTSU favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At MTSU | Neutral | At Liberty |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 39% | 45% | 51% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 44% | 51% | 57% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 43% | 50% | 56% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 46% | 52% | 59% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 46% | 52% | 59% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 46% | 52% | 59% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 46% | 52% | 59% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 46% | 52% | 59% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 46% | 52% | 59% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
MTSU
Liberty
|
1-1 (50%) |
Head to Head |
1-1 (50%) |
|
17-16 (51.5%) |
Overall |
16-13 (55.2%) |
|
10-6 (62.5%) |
Home |
7-5 (58.3%) |
|
6-8 (42.9%) |
Away |
6-5 (54.5%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
4-12 (25%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
6-11 (35.3%) |
|
13-4 (76.5%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
10-2 (83.3%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
MTSU
Liberty
| #102 Missouri St | Best Win | #54 George Mason |
| #282 WKU | Worst Loss | #256 Kennesaw |
| 43 pts vs #258 UTEP | Largest MOV | 32 pts vs #166 Sam Houston St |
| 44 pts vs #46 Tennessee | Largest MOD | 21 pts vs #131 Florida Intl |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
MTSU
Liberty
| 61.9 | Points per Game | 62.9 |
| 60.4 | Points Against | 61.2 |
| 66.3 | Home PPG | 62.8 |
| 60.4 | Home PA | 59.7 |
| 58.4 | Away PPG | 62.2 |
| 60 | Away PA | 63.2 |
| 497-513 | Opponent Record | 479-419 |
| 178.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 169.3 |
| W 5 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
MTSU
Liberty
| Mar 26 | vs Cleveland St (24-10) | L56-66 | Mar 13 | Louisiana Tech (24-7) | L48-61 |
| Mar 23 | vs St Bonaventure (16-16) | W69-50 | Mar 12 | Sam Houston St (15-13) | W89-57 |
| Mar 12 | Missouri St (23-13) | L66-69 | Mar 6 | vs Delaware (12-19) | W71-64 |
| Mar 7 | vs Missouri St (23-13) | W86-75 | Feb 28 | vs WKU (7-21) | W60-54 |
| Mar 5 | vs Florida Intl (20-12) | L78-80 | Feb 26 | vs MTSU (17-16) | W65-37 |
| Feb 28 | at Delaware (12-19) | W67-53 | Feb 21 | at Florida Intl (20-12) | L45-66 |
| Feb 26 | at Liberty (16-13) | L37-65 | Feb 19 | at Missouri St (23-13) | W55-43 |
| Feb 21 | at WKU (7-21) | L65-70 | Feb 14 | vs New Mexico St (6-21) | W67-42 |
| Feb 14 | vs Kennesaw (10-17) | W71-53 | Feb 12 | vs UTEP (11-17) | W58-48 |
| Feb 12 | vs Jacksonville St (13-16) | W57-48 | Feb 7 | at Kennesaw (10-17) | L58-64 |