Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Army 73%, Lafayette 27% at Lafayette.
Army's win probability against Lafayette is trending down — from 77% to 73% over the last 6 updates.
Army's win probability against Lafayette is trending down — from 82% to 78% over the last 6 updates.
Army's win probability against Lafayette has held at 83% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.