Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Iowa St 57%, Kansas 43% at Kansas.
Iowa St's win probability against Kansas is trending down — from 61% to 57% over the last 6 updates.
Iowa St's win probability against Kansas is trending down — from 67% to 64% over the last 6 updates.
Iowa St's win probability against Kansas has held at 70% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.