Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: MTSU 60%, Jacksonville St 40% at Jacksonville St.
MTSU's win probability against Jacksonville St has held at 60% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
MTSU's win probability against Jacksonville St has held at 66% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
MTSU's win probability against Jacksonville St has held at 72% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.