Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Northern Iowa
Iowa St
|
84
B
|
Overall |
94
A
|
|
85
B
|
Power |
96
A
|
|
80
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
98
A+
6099
|
|
Northern Iowa
6099
Iowa St
6099
|
||
|
88
B+
6099
|
Defensive |
87
B+
6099
|
|
Northern Iowa
6099
Iowa St
6099
|
||
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
93
A-
|
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Future) |
93
A-
|
Northern Iowa
Iowa St
| 138 | Overall | 43 |
| 129 | Power | 31 |
| 174 | Offensive | 11 |
| 102 | Defensive | 111 |
| 146 | SoS (Current) | 60 |
| 146 | SoS (Future) | 60 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Iowa St 96%, Northern Iowa 4% at Iowa St.
Iowa St's win probability against Northern Iowa has held at 92% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Iowa St's win probability against Northern Iowa has held at 94% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Iowa St's win probability against Northern Iowa has held at 96% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Northern Iowa | Neutral | At Iowa St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 81% | 86% | 91% |
| Wk 1 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 2 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 3 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 4 | 95% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 5 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 6 | 93% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 7 | 95% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 8 | 95% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 9 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 10 | 93% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 11 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 12 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 13 | 89% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 14 | 92% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 15 | 93% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 16 | 92% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 17 | 93% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 18 | 92% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 19 | 92% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 20 | 92% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 21 | 92% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 22 | 92% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 23 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 24 | 92% | 94% | 96% |
Northern Iowa
Iowa St
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
18-14 (56.3%) |
Overall |
22-10 (68.8%) |
|
8-5 (61.5%) |
Home |
15-3 (83.3%) |
|
8-8 (50%) |
Away |
5-5 (50%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
2-3 (40%) |
|
6-11 (35.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
11-9 (55%) |
|
12-3 (80%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
11-1 (91.7%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
Northern Iowa
Iowa St
| #50 Murray St | Best Win | #6 Iowa |
| #272 Evansville | Worst Loss | #120 Cincinnati |
| 38 pts vs #355 Valparaiso | Largest MOV | 65 pts vs #308 Sacred Heart |
| 33 pts vs #6 Iowa | Largest MOD | 28 pts vs #32 Oklahoma St |
Northern Iowa
Iowa St
| 67.8 | Points per Game | 81.7 |
| 64.3 | Points Against | 67.3 |
| 70.8 | Home PPG | 85.9 |
| 65.8 | Home PA | 61.4 |
| 64.9 | Away PPG | 74.8 |
| 62.4 | Away PA | 73.1 |
| 529-508 | Opponent Record | 575-470 |
| 175.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 114.3 |
| W 5 | Longest Streak | W 14 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Northern Iowa
Iowa St
| Mar 14 | Murray St (30-4) | L59-72 | Mar 21 | Syracuse (24-9) | L63-72 |
| Mar 13 | Bradley (19-13) | W74-73 | Mar 5 | Arizona St (24-11) | L68-77 |
| Mar 8 | vs Drake (12-20) | W65-58 | Mar 1 | at Kansas St (19-18) | W93-79 |
| Mar 5 | at Indiana St (9-22) | W92-73 | Feb 25 | vs Oklahoma St (23-10) | L77-88 |
| Feb 28 | vs IL Chicago (14-18) | W82-68 | Feb 22 | at #10 TCU (32-6) | L73-80 |
| Feb 26 | vs Valparaiso (0-32) | W92-54 | Feb 18 | vs Arizona St (24-11) | W90-64 |
| Feb 21 | at Evansville (10-25) | L63-64 | Feb 15 | vs Kansas St (19-18) | W76-72 |
| Feb 19 | at S Illinois (8-20) | W77-48 | Feb 10 | at BYU (26-12) | L69-83 |
| Feb 12 | vs Indiana St (9-22) | W91-79 | Feb 7 | at Utah (18-13) | W79-72 |
| Feb 7 | vs Belmont (20-12) | L58-70 | Jan 31 | vs UCF (11-19) | W65-52 |
vs
Women's College Basketball