Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Murray St 87%, Indiana St 13% at Indiana St.
Murray St's win probability against Indiana St is trending down — from 90% to 87% over the last 6 updates.
Murray St's win probability against Indiana St is trending down — from 93% to 90% over the last 6 updates.
Murray St's win probability against Indiana St has held at 92% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.