Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Incarnate Word 65%, Houston Chr 35% at Incarnate Word.
Incarnate Word's win probability against Houston Chr is trending down — from 55% to 52% over the last 6 updates.
Incarnate Word's win probability against Houston Chr is trending down — from 61% to 58% over the last 6 updates.
Incarnate Word's win probability against Houston Chr has held at 65% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.