Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Drake
Illinois St
|
74
C
|
Overall |
86
B
|
|
77
C+
|
Power |
84
B
|
|
87
B+
6099
|
Offensive |
83
B-
6099
|
|
Drake
6099
Illinois St
6099
|
||
|
67
D+
6099
|
Defensive |
81
B-
6099
|
|
Drake
6099
Illinois St
6099
|
||
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
79
C+
|
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Future) |
79
C+
|
Drake
Illinois St
| 233 | Overall | 124 |
| 203 | Power | 139 |
| 116 | Offensive | 145 |
| 298 | Defensive | 172 |
| 153 | SoS (Current) | 188 |
| 153 | SoS (Future) | 188 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Illinois St 74%, Drake 26% at Illinois St.
Illinois St's win probability against Drake is trending down — from 64% to 57% over the last 6 weeks.
Illinois St's win probability against Drake is trending down — from 72% to 66% over the last 6 weeks.
Illinois St's win probability against Drake is trending down — from 79% to 74% over the last 6 weeks.
| Week | At Drake | Neutral | At Illinois St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 23% | 30% | 39% |
| Wk 1 | 28% | 37% | 46% |
| Wk 2 | 62% | 71% | 78% |
| Wk 3 | 67% | 75% | 82% |
| Wk 4 | 72% | 80% | 85% |
| Wk 5 | 75% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 6 | 74% | 81% | 86% |
| Wk 7 | 76% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 8 | 71% | 78% | 85% |
| Wk 9 | 67% | 75% | 82% |
| Wk 10 | 68% | 76% | 82% |
| Wk 11 | 68% | 75% | 82% |
| Wk 12 | 69% | 77% | 83% |
| Wk 13 | 67% | 75% | 82% |
| Wk 14 | 65% | 74% | 81% |
| Wk 15 | 65% | 74% | 81% |
| Wk 16 | 59% | 68% | 75% |
| Wk 17 | 62% | 70% | 78% |
| Wk 18 | 64% | 72% | 79% |
| Wk 19 | 58% | 67% | 75% |
| Wk 20 | 56% | 65% | 73% |
| Wk 21 | 57% | 66% | 74% |
| Wk 22 | 59% | 68% | 76% |
| Wk 23 | 58% | 67% | 75% |
| Wk 24 | 57% | 66% | 74% |
Drake
Illinois St
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Head to Head |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
12-20 (37.5%) |
Overall |
24-15 (61.5%) |
|
5-10 (33.3%) |
Home |
17-1 (94.4%) |
|
6-7 (46.2%) |
Away |
6-9 (40%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-16 (5.9%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
8-10 (44.4%) |
|
11-4 (73.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
16-5 (76.2%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
Drake
Illinois St
| #124 Illinois St | Best Win | #103 Belmont |
| #225 IL Chicago | Worst Loss | #287 S Illinois |
| 26 pts vs #355 Valparaiso | Largest MOV | 49 pts vs #345 Chicago St |
| 42 pts vs #6 Iowa | Largest MOD | 41 pts vs #38 Nebraska |
Drake
Illinois St
| 71.2 | Points per Game | 70.5 |
| 74.2 | Points Against | 66.7 |
| 70 | Home PPG | 77.5 |
| 73.2 | Home PA | 63.1 |
| 72.7 | Away PPG | 66.1 |
| 75.6 | Away PA | 70.5 |
| 507-532 | Opponent Record | 608-659 |
| 177.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 185.8 |
| L 8 | Longest Streak | L 4 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Drake
Illinois St
| Mar 13 | Illinois St (24-15) | L62-69 | Apr 4 | at Marshall (27-9) | L41-66 |
| Mar 12 | Valparaiso (0-32) | W81-55 | Apr 4 | Marshall (27-9) | L41-66 |
| Mar 8 | at Northern Iowa (18-14) | L58-65 | Apr 1 | at South Dakota (23-10) | W67-60 |
| Mar 5 | vs Illinois St (24-15) | W73-55 | Mar 30 | vs G Washington (17-18) | W61-53 |
| Feb 28 | at S Illinois (8-20) | W83-68 | Mar 27 | vs Abilene Chr (21-11) | W59-55 |
| Feb 26 | at Evansville (10-25) | W87-85 | Mar 22 | vs UTRGV (19-14) | W81-52 |
| Feb 22 | vs IL Chicago (14-18) | L61-69 | Mar 14 | Evansville (10-25) | L70-75 |
| Feb 19 | vs Valparaiso (0-32) | W79-68 | Mar 13 | Drake (12-20) | W69-62 |
| Feb 14 | vs Indiana St (9-22) | W88-70 | Mar 8 | at Bradley (19-13) | W66-65 |
| Feb 7 | at Illinois St (24-15) | L70-77 | Mar 5 | at Drake (12-20) | L55-73 |
vs
Women's College Basketball