Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: IUPUI 60%, Oakland 40% at IUPUI.
IUPUI's win probability against Oakland has held at 47% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
IUPUI's win probability against Oakland is trending down — from 56% to 53% over the last 6 updates.
IUPUI's win probability against Oakland has held at 60% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.