Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: UT San Antonio 57%, Howard 43% at Howard.
UT San Antonio's win probability against Howard has held at 57% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
UT San Antonio's win probability against Howard has swung between 61% and 66% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 63% now.
UT San Antonio's win probability against Howard has held at 69% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.