Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: E Illinois 61%, Tennessee St 39% at E Illinois.
E Illinois' win probability against Tennessee St has held at 48% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
E Illinois' win probability against Tennessee St has held at 54% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
E Illinois' win probability against Tennessee St has held at 61% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.