NC State at Duke Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Duke by 12.42
TOTAL POINTS
138
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
NC State
Duke 
|
96
A
|
Overall |
98
A+
|
|
96
A
|
Power |
98
A+
|
|
97
A+
|
Offensive |
97
A+
|
|
94
A
|
Defensive |
99
A+
|
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
99
A+
|
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Future) |
99
A+
|
RANKINGS
NC State
Duke
| 31 | Overall | 9 |
| 30 | Power | 8 |
| 23 | Offensive | 22 |
| 43 | Defensive | 5 |
| 13 | SoS (Current) | 3 |
| 13 | SoS (Future) | 3 |
Duke#983%
NC State#3117%Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Duke 83%, NC State 17% at Duke.
Duke's win probability against NC State is trending up — from 65% to 69% over the last 6 weeks.
Duke's win probability against NC State is trending up — from 73% to 77% over the last 6 weeks.
Duke's win probability against NC State is trending up — from 80% to 83% over the last 6 weeks.
Duke favored
NC State favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At NC State | Neutral | At Duke |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 57% | 66% | 74% |
| Wk 1 | 34% | 43% | 52% |
| Wk 2 | 63% | 71% | 79% |
| Wk 3 | 48% | 57% | 66% |
| Wk 4 | 47% | 56% | 65% |
| Wk 5 | 43% | 52% | 62% |
| Wk 6 | 49% | 58% | 67% |
| Wk 7 | 49% | 58% | 67% |
| Wk 8 | 51% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 9 | 50% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 10 | 49% | 59% | 67% |
| Wk 11 | 53% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 12 | 52% | 61% | 70% |
| Wk 13 | 56% | 65% | 73% |
| Wk 14 | 57% | 66% | 74% |
| Wk 15 | 59% | 68% | 75% |
| Wk 16 | 61% | 70% | 77% |
| Wk 17 | 66% | 74% | 81% |
| Wk 18 | 65% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 19 | 66% | 74% | 81% |
| Wk 20 | 67% | 75% | 81% |
| Wk 21 | 64% | 72% | 80% |
| Wk 22 | 68% | 76% | 82% |
| Wk 23 | 69% | 77% | 83% |
| Wk 24 | 69% | 77% | 83% |
RECORDS
NC State
Duke
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
21-11 (65.6%) |
Overall |
27-9 (75%) |
|
10-4 (71.4%) |
Home |
14-1 (93.3%) |
|
7-5 (58.3%) |
Away |
10-3 (76.9%) |
|
0-8 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
7-7 (50%) |
|
12-11 (52.2%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
20-9 (69%) |
|
9-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
7-0 (100%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
SUPERLATIVES
NC State
Duke
| #33 Syracuse | Best Win | #8 LSU |
| #55 Clemson | Worst Loss | #67 South Florida |
| 54 pts vs #194 Southern Miss | Largest MOV | 59 pts vs #197 SMU |
| 29 pts vs #5 Michigan | Largest MOD | 30 pts vs #1 UCLA |
OTHER STATISTICS
NC State
Duke
| 76.7 | Points per Game | 74.1 |
| 67.1 | Points Against | 59.7 |
| 72.3 | Home PPG | 83.2 |
| 60.1 | Home PA | 54.9 |
| 80.6 | Away PPG | 72.3 |
| 74.5 | Away PA | 61.2 |
| 629-428 | Opponent Record | 807-409 |
| 85 | Avg Opponent Rank | 70.8 |
| W 6 | Longest Streak | W 17 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
NC State
Duke
| Mar 22 | at #5 Michigan (28-7) | L63-92 | Mar 29 | #1 UCLA (37-1) | L58-70 |
| Mar 20 | Tennessee (16-14) | W76-61 | Mar 27 | at #8 LSU (29-6) | W87-85 |
| Mar 6 | #17 Notre Dame (25-11) | L63-81 | Mar 22 | vs #20 Baylor (25-9) | W69-46 |
| Mar 1 | at Pittsburgh (8-22) | W93-43 | Mar 20 | vs Col Charleston (25-6) | W81-64 |
| Feb 26 | vs Wake Forest (14-18) | W65-56 | Mar 8 | #14 Louisville (29-8) | W70-65 |
| Feb 22 | vs Syracuse (24-9) | W82-69 | Mar 7 | #17 Notre Dame (25-11) | W65-63 |
| Feb 19 | at #9 Duke (27-9) | L65-83 | Mar 6 | Clemson (21-12) | W60-46 |
| Feb 15 | at #17 Notre Dame (25-11) | L67-79 | Mar 1 | at #15 North Carolina (28-8) | L69-74 |
| Feb 8 | at Virginia Tech (23-10) | W82-62 | Feb 26 | vs Florida St (10-21) | W80-52 |
| Feb 5 | vs Florida St (10-21) | W83-55 | Feb 22 | at Clemson (21-12) | L51-53 |
