Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Connecticut 74%, Duke 26% at Duke.
Connecticut's win probability against Duke is trending down — from 79% to 74% over the last 6 updates.
Connecticut's win probability against Duke is trending down — from 84% to 79% over the last 6 updates.
Connecticut's win probability against Duke is trending down — from 87% to 83% over the last 6 updates.