Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Colgate 62%, Mercyhurst 38% at Colgate.
Colgate's win probability against Mercyhurst has held at 49% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Colgate's win probability against Mercyhurst has held at 55% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Colgate's win probability against Mercyhurst has held at 62% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.