Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: C Michigan 81%, W Michigan 19% at C Michigan.
C Michigan's win probability against W Michigan is trending down — from 74% to 71% over the last 6 updates.
C Michigan's win probability against W Michigan is trending down — from 79% to 76% over the last 6 updates.
C Michigan's win probability against W Michigan has held at 81% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.