Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Buffalo
W Michigan
|
63
D-
|
Overall |
71
C-
|
|
66
D
|
Power |
70
C-
|
|
69
D+
6099
|
Offensive |
64
D
6099
|
|
Buffalo
6099
W Michigan
6099
|
||
|
65
D
6099
|
Defensive |
83
B-
6099
|
|
Buffalo
6099
W Michigan
6099
|
||
|
81
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
80
B-
|
|
81
B-
|
SoS (Future) |
80
B-
|
Buffalo
W Michigan
| 339 | Overall | 263 |
| 309 | Power | 266 |
| 279 | Offensive | 322 |
| 314 | Defensive | 153 |
| 170 | SoS (Current) | 174 |
| 170 | SoS (Future) | 174 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: W Michigan 57%, Buffalo 43% at Buffalo.
W Michigan's win probability against Buffalo has held at 57% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
W Michigan's win probability against Buffalo has held at 66% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
W Michigan's win probability against Buffalo has held at 74% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Buffalo | Neutral | At W Michigan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 9% | 13% | 18% |
| Wk 1 | 10% | 15% | 21% |
| Wk 2 | 22% | 29% | 37% |
| Wk 3 | 21% | 28% | 36% |
| Wk 4 | 34% | 43% | 52% |
| Wk 5 | 33% | 42% | 52% |
| Wk 6 | 39% | 49% | 58% |
| Wk 7 | 47% | 57% | 66% |
| Wk 8 | 40% | 49% | 58% |
| Wk 9 | 35% | 44% | 53% |
| Wk 10 | 48% | 57% | 66% |
| Wk 11 | 51% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 12 | 52% | 61% | 69% |
| Wk 13 | 47% | 56% | 65% |
| Wk 14 | 51% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 15 | 50% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 16 | 54% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 17 | 55% | 64% | 73% |
| Wk 18 | 56% | 65% | 74% |
| Wk 19 | 57% | 66% | 74% |
| Wk 20 | 57% | 66% | 74% |
| Wk 21 | 57% | 66% | 74% |
| Wk 22 | 57% | 66% | 74% |
| Wk 23 | 57% | 66% | 74% |
| Wk 24 | 57% | 66% | 74% |
Buffalo
W Michigan
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
3-27 (10%) |
Overall |
9-19 (32.1%) |
|
3-10 (23.1%) |
Home |
5-8 (38.5%) |
|
0-14 (0%) |
Away |
4-11 (26.7%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
1-16 (5.9%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
0-13 (0%) |
|
2-11 (15.4%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
9-6 (60%) |
|
1-9 (10%) |
Last 10 Games |
3-7 (30%) |
Buffalo
W Michigan
| #163 Toledo | Best Win | #162 Loyola-Chicago |
| #317 Hampton | Worst Loss | #305 N Illinois |
| 26 pts vs #359 Niagara | Largest MOV | 18 pts vs #339 Buffalo |
| 42 pts vs #70 Ball St | Largest MOD | 54 pts vs #22 Michigan St |
Buffalo
W Michigan
| 58.7 | Points per Game | 55.8 |
| 71.8 | Points Against | 65 |
| 60.8 | Home PPG | 58.7 |
| 71.9 | Home PA | 62.2 |
| 56.1 | Away PPG | 53.2 |
| 73.1 | Away PA | 67.4 |
| 470-441 | Opponent Record | 399-456 |
| 180.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 181.6 |
| L 19 | Longest Streak | L 5 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 3 |
Buffalo
W Michigan
| Mar 7 | at Massachusetts (23-7) | L55-73 | Mar 7 | at Kent (13-16) | L60-67 |
| Mar 4 | at N Illinois (7-23) | L53-56 | Mar 4 | vs Toledo (16-15) | L49-56 |
| Feb 28 | vs Toledo (16-15) | W69-66 | Feb 28 | vs Massachusetts (23-7) | L48-64 |
| Feb 25 | vs W Michigan (9-19) | L43-58 | Feb 25 | at Buffalo (3-27) | W58-43 |
| Feb 21 | at E Michigan (12-16) | L63-73 | Feb 21 | vs N Illinois (7-23) | W65-60 |
| Feb 18 | vs Ball St (25-7) | L55-88 | Feb 18 | at Bowling Green (13-14) | L63-67 |
| Feb 10 | at Bowling Green (13-14) | L61-72 | Feb 14 | at C Michigan (17-12) | L67-70 |
| Feb 7 | vs ULM (16-16) | L64-73 | Feb 10 | vs Miami OH (26-7) | L55-60 |
| Feb 4 | vs C Michigan (17-12) | L59-90 | Feb 7 | vs South Alabama (17-19) | W73-67 |
| Jan 31 | at Akron (5-24) | L72-76 | Feb 4 | at Ohio (17-14) | L37-76 |
vs
Women's College Basketball