Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Boise St 79%, UC Riverside 21% at Boise St.
Boise St's win probability against UC Riverside is trending down — from 72% to 69% over the last 6 updates.
Boise St's win probability against UC Riverside is trending down — from 77% to 74% over the last 6 updates.
Boise St's win probability against UC Riverside has held at 79% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.