Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Ball St 59%, Miami OH 41% at Ball St.
Ball St's win probability against Miami OH is trending down — from 49% to 46% over the last 6 updates.
Ball St's win probability against Miami OH is trending down — from 55% to 52% over the last 6 updates.
Ball St's win probability against Miami OH has held at 59% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.