Tarleton St at Ark Little Rock Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Ark Little Rock by 0.25
TOTAL POINTS
123
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Tarleton St
Ark Little Rock 
|
73
C-
|
Overall |
76
C
|
|
76
C
|
Power |
72
C-
|
|
76
C
|
Offensive |
69
D+
|
|
77
C+
|
Defensive |
80
B-
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
80
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
86
B
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Tarleton St
Ark Little Rock
| 240 | Overall | 213 |
| 219 | Power | 247 |
| 216 | Offensive | 281 |
| 201 | Defensive | 179 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 178 | SoS (Full Season) | 123 |
Ark Little Rock#21351%
Tarleton St#24049%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Ark Little Rock 51%, Tarleton St 49% at Ark Little Rock.
Ark Little Rock's win probability against Tarleton St has held at 38% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Ark Little Rock's win probability against Tarleton St has held at 44% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Ark Little Rock's win probability against Tarleton St has held at 51% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Ark Little Rock favored
Tarleton St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Tarleton St | Neutral | At Ark Little Rock |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 35% | 41% | 48% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 38% | 44% | 50% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 36% | 43% | 49% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 37% | 43% | 49% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 37% | 43% | 50% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 37% | 43% | 50% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 37% | 44% | 50% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 37% | 44% | 50% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 38% | 44% | 51% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Tarleton St
Ark Little Rock
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
12-17 (41.4%) |
Overall |
13-16 (44.8%) |
|
6-6 (50%) |
Home |
7-6 (53.8%) |
|
4-9 (30.8%) |
Away |
5-9 (35.7%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
2-12 (14.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-9 (25%) |
|
10-5 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
10-7 (58.8%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Tarleton St
Ark Little Rock
| #189 Southern Utah | Best Win | #144 Cent Arkansas |
| #293 Utah Tech | Worst Loss | #249 Memphis |
| 26 pts vs #189 Southern Utah | Largest MOV | 37 pts vs #316 Tennessee St |
| 48 pts vs #10 TCU | Largest MOD | 55 pts vs #13 Oklahoma |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Tarleton St
Ark Little Rock
| 62.9 | Points per Game | 59.3 |
| 66 | Points Against | 64 |
| 64.3 | Home PPG | 61.9 |
| 63.6 | Home PA | 61.5 |
| 59.8 | Away PPG | 57 |
| 66.2 | Away PA | 68.1 |
| 452-446 | Opponent Record | 426-454 |
| 195.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 194.3 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | L 4 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Tarleton St
Ark Little Rock
| Mar 13 | Cal Baptist (23-11) | L60-77 | Mar 4 | SE Missouri St (12-18) | L65-68 |
| Mar 12 | Utah Valley (14-15) | W60-57 | Feb 28 | vs Southern Indiana (18-11) | L63-68 |
| Mar 5 | at UT Arlington (12-21) | W65-54 | Feb 26 | vs Morehead St (17-15) | W73-68 |
| Feb 28 | vs Cal Baptist (23-11) | L67-76 | Feb 21 | vs SE Missouri St (12-18) | L62-71 |
| Feb 26 | vs Utah Valley (14-15) | L51-65 | Feb 19 | vs TN Martin (10-17) | W65-57 |
| Feb 21 | at Utah Tech (8-20) | L55-76 | Feb 14 | at E Illinois (4-27) | W73-53 |
| Feb 18 | at Southern Utah (16-13) | L69-76 | Feb 12 | at W Illinois (23-6) | L73-84 |
| Feb 14 | vs Abilene Chr (21-11) | L67-72 | Feb 7 | vs SIUE (13-16) | W73-64 |
| Feb 7 | vs Southern Utah (16-13) | W59-57 | Feb 5 | vs Lindenwood (23-8) | L54-92 |
| Feb 5 | vs Cal Baptist (23-11) | L67-77 | Feb 3 | at TN Martin (10-17) | W68-53 |