Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 2 (Nov 14), 2026-27: Oregon St 50%, Arizona 50% at Arizona.
Oregon St's win probability against Arizona has swung between 22% and 50% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 50% now.
Oregon St's win probability against Arizona has swung between 27% and 57% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 57% now.
Oregon St's win probability against Arizona has swung between 32% and 63% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 63% now.