Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Alabama St
Alabama A&M
|
74
C
|
Overall |
81
B-
|
|
65
D
|
Power |
73
C-
|
|
65
D
6099
|
Offensive |
65
D
6099
|
|
Alabama St
6099
Alabama A&M
6099
|
||
|
66
D
6099
|
Defensive |
85
B
6099
|
|
Alabama St
6099
Alabama A&M
6099
|
||
|
66
D
|
SoS (Current) |
67
D+
|
|
66
D
|
SoS (Future) |
67
D+
|
Alabama St
Alabama A&M
| 231 | Overall | 164 |
| 317 | Power | 238 |
| 316 | Offensive | 313 |
| 303 | Defensive | 127 |
| 309 | SoS (Current) | 295 |
| 309 | SoS (Future) | 295 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Alabama A&M 84%, Alabama St 16% at Alabama A&M.
Alabama A&M's win probability against Alabama St has held at 71% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Alabama A&M's win probability against Alabama St has held at 78% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Alabama A&M's win probability against Alabama St has held at 84% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Alabama St | Neutral | At Alabama A&M |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 89% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 1 | 85% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 2 | 66% | 74% | 81% |
| Wk 3 | 63% | 71% | 78% |
| Wk 4 | 61% | 70% | 77% |
| Wk 5 | 59% | 67% | 75% |
| Wk 6 | 52% | 62% | 70% |
| Wk 7 | 65% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 8 | 79% | 85% | 90% |
| Wk 9 | 79% | 85% | 90% |
| Wk 10 | 65% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 11 | 78% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 12 | 77% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 13 | 74% | 81% | 86% |
| Wk 14 | 69% | 77% | 83% |
| Wk 15 | 70% | 77% | 84% |
| Wk 16 | 73% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 17 | 74% | 81% | 86% |
| Wk 18 | 73% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 19 | 74% | 81% | 86% |
| Wk 20 | 71% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 21 | 71% | 78% | 85% |
| Wk 22 | 71% | 78% | 85% |
| Wk 23 | 71% | 78% | 84% |
| Wk 24 | 71% | 78% | 84% |
Alabama St
Alabama A&M
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
15-14 (51.7%) |
Overall |
19-11 (63.3%) |
|
6-3 (66.7%) |
Home |
10-1 (90.9%) |
|
7-9 (43.8%) |
Away |
7-6 (53.8%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
2-10 (16.7%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
6-7 (46.2%) |
|
13-4 (76.5%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
13-4 (76.5%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
8-2 (80%) |
Alabama St
Alabama A&M
| #180 Southern Univ | Best Win | #180 Southern Univ |
| #301 Jackson St | Worst Loss | #336 MS Valley St |
| 33 pts vs #336 MS Valley St | Largest MOV | 42 pts vs #261 Alcorn St |
| 68 pts vs #8 LSU | Largest MOD | 39 pts vs #26 Mississippi |
Alabama St
Alabama A&M
| 59.3 | Points per Game | 59.8 |
| 67.2 | Points Against | 57.8 |
| 65.1 | Home PPG | 65.5 |
| 62.2 | Home PA | 53.7 |
| 56.9 | Away PPG | 58.2 |
| 72.3 | Away PA | 59.1 |
| 394-489 | Opponent Record | 407-516 |
| 228.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 224.5 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | W 18 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Alabama St
Alabama A&M
| Mar 14 | Southern Univ (18-14) | L56-73 | Mar 19 | at BYU (26-12) | L47-72 |
| Mar 13 | Ark Pine Bluff (14-16) | W72-59 | Mar 13 | Southern Univ (18-14) | L49-51 |
| Mar 12 | Grambling (10-19) | W56-50 | Mar 11 | Florida A&M (8-22) | W72-68 |
| Mar 5 | vs Grambling (10-19) | L50-68 | Mar 5 | vs Southern Univ (18-14) | W64-61 |
| Mar 3 | vs Southern Univ (18-14) | W65-63 | Mar 3 | vs Grambling (10-19) | W55-50 |
| Feb 28 | at Alabama A&M (19-11) | L43-51 | Feb 28 | vs Alabama St (15-14) | W51-43 |
| Feb 21 | at Florida A&M (8-22) | W62-59 | Feb 21 | at Bethune-Cookman (5-25) | W55-43 |
| Feb 19 | at Bethune-Cookman (5-25) | W61-60 | Feb 19 | at Florida A&M (8-22) | W57-37 |
| Feb 14 | vs Ark Pine Bluff (14-16) | W79-71 | Feb 14 | vs MS Valley St (8-23) | W95-55 |
| Feb 12 | vs MS Valley St (8-23) | W86-70 | Feb 12 | vs Ark Pine Bluff (14-16) | W82-54 |
vs
Women's College Basketball