Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Air Force 52%, UC Davis 48% at Air Force.
Air Force's win probability against UC Davis is trending up — from 35% to 39% over the last 6 updates.
Air Force's win probability against UC Davis is trending up — from 41% to 45% over the last 6 updates.
Air Force's win probability against UC Davis is trending up — from 48% to 52% over the last 6 updates.