Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Abilene Chr 75%, Tarleton St 25% at Abilene Chr.
Abilene Chr's win probability against Tarleton St is trending down — from 66% to 63% over the last 6 updates.
Abilene Chr's win probability against Tarleton St is trending down — from 72% to 69% over the last 6 updates.
Abilene Chr's win probability against Tarleton St has held at 75% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.