Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 12 (Jun 15), 2026: DC 57%, St. Louis 43% at St. Louis.
DC's win probability against St. Louis is trending down — from 67% to 57% over the last 6 weeks.
DC's win probability against St. Louis is trending down — from 73% to 64% over the last 6 weeks.
DC's win probability against St. Louis is trending down — from 79% to 71% over the last 6 weeks.