Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 12 (Jun 15), 2026: St. Louis 71%, Birmingham 29% at St. Louis.
St. Louis' win probability against Birmingham is trending down — from 68% to 57% over the last 6 weeks.
St. Louis' win probability against Birmingham is trending down — from 74% to 64% over the last 6 weeks.
St. Louis' win probability against Birmingham is trending down — from 80% to 71% over the last 6 weeks.